AOTW 2013 1218

*|MC:SUBJECT|*
Use this area to offer a short preview of your email's content.
View this email in your browser
This week our article comes from The Wall Street Journal. This article discusses the psychology of trading and investing.
Regards,
Sam

Human? Then You Might Have These Issues With Trading

By Harriet Agnew

As the hedge fund industry battles to outperform equity markets, how
human behavior impacts rationality has become a growing area of focus.
Getty Images

 
When asked at a dinner party what accounted for his success, renowned investor Charlie Munger –  Warren Buffett’s business partner – replied that he was rational. To classical economists, that market participants were rational was taken for granted. But the notion has been criticized in the field of behavioral finance, which studies the effects of social, cognitive and emotional factors on economic decisions.

Simon Savage, co head of European and global long/short strategies at GLG Partners, a hedge fund manager owned by Man Group, said:
 
"We were all born to be bad fund managers because of inbuilt behavioral biases, which are present in everyone to various degrees. It's through an awareness of them that as a fund manager you can begin to build a defense mechanism to avoid these vulnerabilities."  
 
After five years underperforming the equity markets, the hedge fund industry is grappling with ways to recover form. As part of that, some are now asking how brain and body affect trading decisions.
 
Financial News has published a series of articles this week examining the effect of behavioral biases on a fund managers’ ability to make money and minimize losses. Hedge funds are secretive about their use of specialist coaches and psychologists, so hard figures on how these techniques are being used are hard to come by. But anecdotes suggest it’s on the rise.
 
Here are five things to bear in mind:
 

1.Understand what you’re up against

 
A common bias among all managers is loss-aversion bias, which leads them to avoid risk when gains are at stake but seek risk when losses are at stake. Essentia Analytics, which has developed
cloud-based software to capture performance data, gives this example:
 
  • Would you rather take $100 now, or take a 50/50 bet in which you will win nothing or win $200?
  • Would you rather give us $100 from your pocket now, or take a 50/50 bet in which you will lose nothing or lose $200?
Loss aversion is what leads most people to take the $100 in the first scenario and take the bet in the second one.
 

2.Know that luck plays a part in success

 
A behavioral bias called the self-serving attribution bias suggests there is a tendency for managers who do well to attribute their success to their own skill, while those who trip up tend to blame external factors. The role that luck plays is underestimated. By using data analytics, hedge fund managers can get inside the trading process and discern between skill and luck, so they can practice more of the good things and less of the bad. Capturing data can shed light on, among other things, a trader’s hit rate and their win/loss ratio, as well as showing whether a trader makes money from trading around positions or from a buy-and-hold strategy.
 

3.Avoid decision fatigue

 
Glucose levels have been shown to decline with mental, no less than physical activity. A study of a parole board in Israel demonstrated the phenomenon of “decision fatigue”. It found that board members were more likely to grant parole at the start of the day and after breaks for food.
 
Steven Goldstein, a trader performance coach at BTG Edge, said:
 
"Our decision-making and our ability to stay disciplined wears down as the level of glucose depletes. People get more prone to irrational behaviors and biases. I advise traders to structure their days to factor this in."
 

4.Try changing the psychology

 
Denise Shull, author and president of the ReThink Group, which coaches traders, helps them
understand their own emotional context. She said: “People trade their characters, their personalities, their personal histories. They all do it, they just think they don’t.” Ms. Shull tells the story of a trader who tended to size his positions too big. He was a tall man who played rugby. The man was a father to young daughters and so Ms. Shull advised him to “think of trading like play-wrestling with your little girls” when he was sizing positions.
 

5.Be aware that you can have too much money, but you can also have too little

 
One trading coach said he always asks a trader’s net worth in hiring discussions, as this can influence his or her risk appetite. He explained that with under $5 million, the trader is “hungry”, while a trader managing between $5 million and $10 million may become risk averse in an attempt to guard wealth. With over $15 million, the trader relaxes because he or she “can play”, the coach said.


 
Sam Sweitzer, CFA │Principal│ANSON CAPITAL, INC.
o: 678-216-0795│f: 877-750-9088│sam@ansoncap.com│www.Ansoncap.com│
Important disclosures can be found at www.ansoncap.com/emaildisclosures
This message is confidential and sent by Anson Capital, Inc. solely for use by the intended recipient. If you are not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any use, distribution or copying of this communication is strictly prohibited. This communication should not be deemed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any product. Any 3rd party information contained herein was prepared by sources deemed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed. All electronic communications sent or received are stored and may be subject to review by regulatory authorities or others with a legal right to do so. All communications containing sensitive material should not be sent via e-mail as Anson Capital, Inc. cannot guarantee the security of email transmissions.  All communications requiring immediate attention or action by the adviser should not be sent via e-mail, since they may not be acted upon in a timely manner. Anson Capital, Inc. only transacts business in states where it is properly registered or notice filed, or excluded or exempted from registration requirements.
Information included in this e-mail is not an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein.  All investments have the potential for profit or loss and past performance does not guarantee future success. Anson Capital, Inc. does not guarantee specific results or imply that specific actions will always reach the desired goal.
Anson Capital, Inc. has taken precautions to screen this message for viruses, but we cannot guarantee that it is virus free nor are we responsible for any damage that may be caused by this message.
To view our full privacy policy, please go to http://www.ansoncap.com/disclosure.html
To unsubscribe to any future emails from Anson Capital, Inc., please reply to this email with UNSUBSCRIBE in the subject field

 
 






This email was sent to *|EMAIL|*
why did I get this?    unsubscribe from this list    update subscription preferences
*|LIST:ADDRESSLINE|*